Skewed Medication Abortion Statistics and Future Biden Policies

Each January, our church does a sanctity of life sermon. This year it was unique for me. I listened to the sermon relaxed in my lawn chair, six feet from other congregants, while feeling my baby girl kick in my belly.

I’m no stranger to the sanctity of life Bible verses. I spent a whole chapter in my infertility book unpacking them. What moved me to the edge of my seat, though, was shocking news. The pastor read a quote from a local pregnancy care center who explained that abortion statistics in the United States have declined. But these numbers are skewed because they fail to include women who use the abortion pill before ten weeks gestation.

The abortion pill is a medical, as opposed to surgical, abortion that utilizes two medications: mifepristone and misoprostol. Mifepristone blocks the pregnancy hormone, progesterone, to prevent the preborn baby from growing. Misoprostol induces uterine cramping and bleeding to remove the preborn baby from the uterus.  

After church service, I did some digging. I went to the source for abortion statistics, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The latest data was released on November 27, 2020, covering statistics from 2009 through 2018. If you look at the numbers a certain way, then abortion rates do appear to have declined. If you look at the numbers a different way, they have increased.

In 2018, there were 619,951 abortions in the United States. However, the CDC only counted 614,820 of them. Why were 5,131 abortions not included? Each reporting area must have at least twenty abortions overall and provide specific data to the CDC per abortion. If reporting areas do not meet these standards, then the abortions that occurred there are omitted from the trend statistics. Therefore, from 2009 to 2018 it appears that there was a decrease in abortions. This statistic is skewed because the CDC self-admittedly fails to utilize all abortion data! Also, this is in direct contrast to the CDC’s reported increase in abortions from 2017 to 2018. The total number of abortions and abortion rate (# abortions/1,000 women) increased by one percent and the abortion ratio (# abortions/1,000 live births) increased by two percent!

Similarly, medication abortions are only counted if the reporting areas consistently provided data over each year measured from 2009 to 2018. Therefore, again, the CDC self-admits that the numbers are skewed. Between 2009 to 2018, medication abortions appear to have decreased overall by -0.3 percent. However, between 2017 to 2018, medication abortions increased by 0.4 percent.

The CDC’s omittance of abortion data is just one cause contributing to the misconception of declining abortion rates. There remains, though, another cause: the rise of unreported, self-induced medication abortions.

Before COVID-19, an in-person visit was required for women to obtain the prescription for a medication abortion. This in-person visit included a mandated ultrasound and counseling. However, on July 13, 2020, a federal court waived this in-person requirement labeling it unconstitutional amid an ongoing health crisis. This ruling permits healthcare providers to mail or deliver mifepristone to women seeking to self-induce an abortion. This is not unique to the pandemic, though. Women on the Web (2005) and Aid Access (2018) are two organizations that assist women in self-inducing an abortion.

This makes it possible for a woman to order pills from a website and perform an abortion without stepping foot in a facility. It is highly unlikely that the CDC can track this variable of medication abortion data and explains why medication abortions are underreported. The shocking news I heard at church appears legitimate.

This has significant future policy implications, especially with the incoming Biden Administration. Biden adheres to the belief that women have a constitutional right to abortion. It is logical to assume that he would initiate an administrative process that permanently repeals in-person restrictions on medication abortions. By doing so would encourage the expansion of virtual clinics and remote abortion services. This could transcend some state’s in-person requirements, thus increasing access to medication abortions.

As I feel my baby girl kick in my belly, I mourn the loss of unborn babies across the nation. The CDC might skew the statistics, women may underreport medication abortions, and future policies might increase access to such abortions, but every child is accounted for and loved by their Creator God. This is I know to be true.

Sources:
Planned Parenthood: The Abortion Pill
CDC Abortion Surveillance – United States, 2018
Guttmacher Institute: Abortion Incidence and Service Availability in the United States, 2017
Women on the Web
Aid Access

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